Artis, Abi, RC, Pete, Carter =Mike (4) (I can see Jeff voting here)
Jeff, Malcolm, Penner=Denise (3) (Maybe RC as she found out in Ponderosa that Michael did not vote with her the night she got snuffed--she freely admitted to having an open sore about the situation. Also, its probably a good bet that she enjoyed watching Denise rip up Abi because RC ABHORS Abi).
Now I'm beginning to feel like RC may be the person who decides this thing...I really don't see Artis or Pete voting for a woman and I think they are upset and embarrased that another tribe came in and destroyed their "stronger" tribe. Dollars to doughnuts they place the blame for the breakdown on Lisa and that results in a reluctant Mskup vote. Artis also seemed to genuinely like Abi and I'm guessing Denise's honesty annoyed him.
Actually, RC may not be the swing vote because in reviewing his Ponderosa footage he makes it a point to say that he should have gone with RC and Mskup. I found the guy enjoyable as a player but I think he could easily vote for a guy that is somewhat similar to him--same age bracket, family guy, probably the same religious values. So we might be switching up RC and Jeff and that still leaves MSkup as the winner.
The real variables are Artis and Pete as we can be pretty sure based on the evidence how most of the others will swing....I just think folks here at the Fort may be giving Pete and Artis too much credit because we have forgotten how nasty and low they were during the game--these are still the same pompous, rude, chauvinistic guys that played the game just a few days before and I will be shocked if they vote for Lisa or Denise. Then again, if Artis still holds that challenge grudge against Mike (very possible) then it makes the vote look like this with the above analysis:
Jeff, Abi, Pete, Carter =Mike (4)
Artis, RC, Malcolm, Penner=Denise (4)
The wildcards are definitely Artis and RC. BUT, if it did shakeup like this then we would have our first TIE!!!!