It doesn't start for half an hour here, so I'm going to toss out my predictions:
Morgan loses again, Lill probably goes. Could be close w/ Osten, if he continues moaning, but maybe he'll get past that. Some previous Survivors have found a second wind quickly. And they still need him too desperately.
Loss in a non-physical challenge could send more votes his way, but many will be smart enough to see more physicals on the horizon; and lots more muscle needed in camp.
If Drake loses, I'm going with Jon again.