There really was no topic where everyone could discuss their predictions of what may happen. I think it's a ton of fun to discuss stuff like what could happen if say Drake loses the IC challenge next week, or alliances that may form, or where the contestants may place in the overall.
This topic is to have in depth discussions on anything of the above. Don't be afraid of posting something not related to what the people above are talking about.
No spoilers please. Please give reasons as to what you think, too.
To get things rolling, I'm kind of curious who Drakes first boot could be, or how some Drake members might do over the long term. I do think they will be headed to Tribal Council soon, but right now it may be hard to tell. Still, let's take a look?:
Burton: I think he's a potential candidate for the first Drake boot, but not quite in the most danger here. Going by the previews next week, since it seems Shawn is the one that angers Rupert or supposedly loses the "crucial item" that we think is (was?) a spear (afterall that would make sense if it was a spear, since it angers Rupert so much). So if Shawn is the one causing any conflict here, it automatically makes him more of a target than his Ambiguously Gay Partner. But of course, if you put yourself into leadership like Shawn AND Burton did, you're automatically a target.
Christa: I think she's safe for a bit. I don't think she is going to be one to, sadly, pull a Nicole and put herself from safety into huge danger. I think, unfortunately, she is going to be one that slowly burns out. This doesn't neccesarily mean she's in it to the end, but it means more of her boot will come more from building of weeks worth of stuff, not just one blowout.
Jon: I have to give this guy props. You have balls to annoy the hell out of two very vocal tribemates (Rupert, Sandra) and get drunk on the FIRST NIGHT. Hopefully he goes soon, and is an obvious choice for first boot. You just can't put yourself out there so much so soon.
Michelle: Hmm. I personally would be annoyed if anyone said Michelle is in an alliance with Shawn/Burton over that little coconut milk thing. That's something very small. However, IF she really does allign herself with Shawn/Burton, unless it's late enough so that she can make the merge and have a chance to ally with new people, it would doom her. Joining Shawn/Burton is on the wrong end of the alliance, you don't want to be with them. I don't think we'll find out where she is until the episode where Drake loses an IC (I really am going to be surprised if Drake NEVER loses an IC). However, if she holds off on Shawn/Burton and can allign herself with a better group, she will go far. No matter where she goes, she's not going to be the first Drake boot.
Rupert: I think he is a possible candidate for Drake's first boot! He has put himself out there very much, and as much fun as it was to piss off Shawn and Burton, it's too early in the game to be doing that when you don't have any alliance. I also think it's partially because of his appearance. People notice him, and make an opinion of him. If he's barking at people, I don't think the Drake tribe is going to have much guilt booting him. If he's not Drake's first boot, if Drake goes to TC a second time, I think he might be it.
Sandra: It's all about if she can hold her snarks. I read somewhere that in her Yahoo Platinum on the first episode that she will be nice [to Jon] so she can advance in the game, so I don't think this will be too much of an issue. If she doesn't piss her tribemates off and gets into an alliance that fits her, I think she should be going pretty far, at least to the merge.
Shawn: He has an even bigger target on his back than Burton, but I guess this is only true depending on how his tribe reacts to his obviously losing or breaking the spear. They could side with Rupert and get angry at Shawn, or side with Shawn and get angry with Rupert. So until we see the second episode to see how the tribe reacts, I'm not sure how far he could be going, but obviously is a candidate for first boot.
Trish: I'd say it is virtually impossible for her to be Drake's first boot, and I think she will fly under the radar until maybe the merge or so. I am in the "Trish is going far" camp. Trish is in a good spot. She's old enough as to not be seen as a threat, but young enough so that the tribe won't have to question if she's pulling her weight - not that the marathon runner should have any problem with that at all (and look at her go pulling that cannon in Ep. 1!) She's in it for the long haul, folks.