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Thread: Survivor: Cook Islands - Confessional Count

  1. #11
    I Think I Can Dance. Aota Bass's Avatar
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    Thanks a lot for doing this!

    It's still early to postulate, but I'll share some observations.

    Hmm... I find Nate's increase in confessionals suspicious. He didn't have any storyline this past episode, and the others on his tribe had only one confessional. I'd guess that makes him slightly more likely to be leaving within two episodes. If I had to guess who is next based solely on these confessional counts, I'd pick Nate.

    Ozzy and Cristina definitely dominated this past episode, but they were the key dramatic players in addition to Billy, so I don't think that alone means anything. Yul's high count is mostly due to exile island, and with the hidden idol we KNOW he's safe for a while.

    Cao Boi's 6/2 looks suspicious to me. I'm glad they focused less on him this episode, because I was afraid they'd show him all the time every episode and drive me crazy like they did with Rory and Eliza in Vanuatu. I think he'll definitely be the first of Puka to get the boot, even if the semi-merge is next episode, which I'd guess it is.

    I would venture to say that Adam, Candice, Pavarti, and Brad's lack of any face time whatsoever in confessionals, even with the "lazy" storyline and the passionate secret love affair between Candice/Billy (so secret she didn't even know about it), means they've got more story coming later, so they're likely safe unless their count raises drastically next time.
    And I sing sometimes like my life is at stake because you're only as loud as the noises you make.

  2. #12
    "Woooo.. shut up!" dustparticle05's Avatar
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    A CRAPLOAD a goose eggs this episode.

    After episode 3:


    JONATHAN - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    5/3/5
    TOTAL - 13
    AVG PER EP - 4.33


    OZZY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/7/1
    TOTAL - 11
    AVG PER EP - 3.67


    CAO BOI - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    6/2/2
    TOTAL - 10
    AVG PER EP - 3.33


    YUL - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/5/2
    TOTAL - 10
    AVG PER EP - 3.33


    STEPHANNIE - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    7/1/1
    TOTAL - 9
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    NATE - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/3/3
    TOTAL - 7
    AVG PER EP - 2.33


    JESSICA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    2/1/3
    TOTAL - 6
    AVG PER EP - 2.00


    CRISTINA - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    0/6/0
    TOTAL - 6
    AVG PER EP - 2.00


    BILLY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    2/4/X
    TOTAL - 6
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    JP - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    2/2/1
    TOTAL - 5
    AVG PER EP - 1.67


    BRAD - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/0/3
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.33


    PARVATI - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    2/0/2
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.33


    REBECCA - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    3/1/0
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.33


    SUNDRA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/1/0
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.33


    JENNY - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/2/0
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    CECILIA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    1/2/0
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    SEKOU - MANIHIKI TRIBE
    3/X/X
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    ADAM - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    2/0/0
    TOTAL - 2
    AVG PER EP - 0.67


    BECKY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    0/2/0
    TOTAL - 2
    AVG PER EP - 0.67


    CANDICE - RAROTONGA TRIBE/EXILE ISLAND
    2/0/0
    TOTAL - 2
    AVG PER EP - 0.67

  3. #13
    "Woooo.. shut up!" dustparticle05's Avatar
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    Whoops, I just realized that I didn't change the tribe name for Candice... that should say Aitutaki instead of Rarotonga.

  4. #14
    Leo
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    The one trend I'm seeing is Jonathan is consistently up there. Either he goes very long or he's gone in short order - I don't know which one it is right now.

  5. #15
    Smiley Queen Jillibean's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Leo View Post
    The one trend I'm seeing is Jonathan is consistently up there. Either he goes very long or he's gone in short order - I don't know which one it is right now.

    Don`t they usually say; the more times they show the same survivor in confessional, it means they`re one of the next two to go?.......

  6. #16
    "Woooo.. shut up!" dustparticle05's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jillibean View Post
    Don`t they usually say; the more times they show the same survivor in confessional, it means they`re one of the next two to go?.......
    Typically when a Survivor gets more screen time than usual, most of the time it's not good news. Usually every season there's a contestant who has consistanly high screen-time and is edited as the "narrator" of the season and goes deep into the game.. In Guatemala, it was Stephenie. Last season it was Cirie. This season it's looking like it's Jonathan, but there is a possibility that he could be voted off soon and someone else (Ozzy/Caoboi/Yul) takes over the "narration" part.

  7. #17
    "Woooo.. shut up!" dustparticle05's Avatar
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    More invisible people this episode... some of these people are in danger of getting less face-time than Lydia!

    After Episode 4:


    JONATHAN - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    5/3/5/2
    TOTAL - 15
    AVG PER EP - 3.75


    OZZY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/7/1/2
    TOTAL - 13
    AVG PER EP - 3.25


    STEPHANNIE - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    7/1/1/3
    TOTAL - 12
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    CAO BOI - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    6/2/2/2
    TOTAL - 12
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    YUL - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/5/2/0
    TOTAL - 10
    AVG PER EP - 2.50


    NATE - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/3/3/2
    TOTAL - 9
    AVG PER EP - 2.25


    PARVATI - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    2/0/2/4
    TOTAL - 8
    AVG PER EP - 2.00


    JP - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    2/2/1/2
    TOTAL - 7
    AVG PER EP - 1.75


    JESSICA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    2/1/3/1
    TOTAL - 7
    AVG PER EP - 1.75


    CRISTINA - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    0/6/0/0
    TOTAL - 6
    AVG PER EP - 1.50


    BILLY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    2/4/X/X
    TOTAL - 6
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    REBECCA - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    3/1/0/1
    TOTAL - 5
    AVG PER EP - 1.25


    JENNY - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/2/0/1
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    BRAD - RAROTONGA TRIBE
    1/0/3/0
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    SUNDRA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    3/1/0/0
    TOTAL - 4
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    BECKY - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    0/2/0/1
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 0.75


    CANDICE - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    2/0/0/1
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 0.75


    CECILIA - AITUTAKI TRIBE
    1/2/0/X
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 1.00


    SEKOU - MANIHIKI TRIBE
    3/X/X/X
    TOTAL - 3
    AVG PER EP - 3.00


    ADAM - RAROTONGA TRIBE/EXILE ISLAND
    2/0/0/0
    TOTAL - 2
    AVG PER EP - 0.50

  8. #18
    GoJames&Chelsia! MozzerellaStick's Avatar
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    Adam has been in the bottom half the whole time and now he's last but I don't know what that can mean. Maybe he'll be voted off after a couple of more episodes?
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  9. #19
    "Woooo.. shut up!" dustparticle05's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MozzerellaStick View Post
    Adam has been in the bottom half the whole time and now he's last but I don't know what that can mean. Maybe he'll be voted off after a couple of more episodes?
    Adam's lack of screen-time is interesting. He could very well be voted off soon, or he could be one to make it far in the game, and the editors are using the early episodes to tell the stories of some of the castaways who aren't in the game for much longer. It's very, very unusual for a contestant to have 3 consecutive episodes with no confessionals. I think, although I'm not 100% sure, that Zoe from Marquesas is the only other Survivor to have that many consectutive episodes without a confessional. I'd have to check Palau again sometime, but I don't think that Jenn had many, if any, confessionals at the beginning of the season.

  10. #20
    You Dare Question Me? OrangeDingo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MozzerellaStick View Post
    Adam has been in the bottom half the whole time and now he's last but I don't know what that can mean. Maybe he'll be voted off after a couple of more episodes?
    I certainly hope so!

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