Here's where I have a problem with Heidi being booted tonight. It would seem to be the logical choice to make, given that Rob, Butch, Christy and Matt are in prime position to do some Pagonging. I'm sure everyone who subscribes to the notion of Jenna making the Final 2 sees Heidi as the only logical choice. Even those who are unaware of the Final 2 spoiler would likely choose either Heidi or Jenna as the one to go tonight (in typical Pagonging fashion).Originally posted by Alexa
They have to split the girls up so tonight Heidi goes. Next Rob has served his purpose to Butch, Matt and Christy so they get rid of him next. Next episode the plan might be to get rid of Jenna but she ends up winning immunity so the vote goes to Christy. Final 3, either Jenna or Matt wins immunity opting to vote out Butch because he hasn't appeared to wrong anyone therefore there is a big chance he might become the sole survivor so they feel threatned by him so off he goes. Leaving Matt and Jenna as the final two.
Having said that, how then could tonight's vote be considered "shocking" when everyone would be expecting it? MB has been known to swerve us in the past, but for some reason I really do think tonight's vote will involve something more unexpected.
Unless, of course, something happens over the course of the episode to significantly alter our current perception of player's positions within the tribe. For example, suppose at this point Heidi is believed to be the logical choice to be booted. But, over the course of the show, she and Jenna immediately form a new alliance with Christy, Butch and Matthew to turf Rob. We are lead to believe Rob will be given the axe, but when the votes are counted, Christy, Butch and Matt betray Heidi and vote her out. In that way, Heidi could be the next to go, and the vote could be considered "shocking" as well.
Just a thought...