I wouldn't throw a challenge. I think it tends to bite you, and as noted above, unless you are absolutely certain that the intended target will get hit, then you don't do it. Incidents can happen between the time of the challenge and trip to council. Those who thought they were safe can misstep and suddenly be gone. Just ask Nicole.
Plus, we might just see a mini-merge or tribe shift here, so gotta be careful about sticking your neck out.
I don't think it's a good idea to throw a challenge. The morale factor comes in to play when it relates to the Morgan tribe. Just keep plugging at them and picking them off one by one. When you legitimately lose is the time to get rid of the weakest link (Jon). There is strength in numbers so why give the other tribe a chance to weaken your tribe if you don't have to?
I don't like the idea of throwing a challenge because of the uncertainty of the game. The teams need to focus on unity and their problems instead of taking the easy way out. Everytime someone has tried this before, it seems to have burned them. And unless you have a rock solid alliance, how do you trust people you have only known for days?
Like Jeff says, the game always changes. The tribes could be swapped or a merge could come and you always want an advantage in numbers. I have a feeling that this won't be a simple issue. If it is Jon or anyone else Drake wants out, I don't see the other 7 agreeing unless he does something really stupid. And if they don't agree, it could really split the tribe or put the instigator of this out.
I also agree that they shouldn't throw a challenge. Wait until it happens naturally. They can always ignore the one they want gone until they have the opportunity to vote them off. (I hope they don't, just because I want to see what the next excuse Andrew pulls out of his b*tt is. :))
No. Do not throw any challenges.
Leo, Morgan doesn't have a B team, their whole team plays in every challenge. Both teams have 3 strong males. If Drake sits out one of theirs, they're at a physical disadvantage.
Next episode Drake will sit 6 players out : 3 for RC + 3 for IC. Theoretically, if they win the next IC, the following week they would have to sit 8 players out – Rupert will have to sit out the RC or the IC. Of course, I understand this may never come to pass.
MB has other tricks up his sleeve, apart from a player swap. He has used various means to even the odds. There's no way to predict what he'll do this time – and that's my point.
I've always felt that a good Survivor knows that he is playing against 15 other players, but he is also playing against a 17th player: MB. If he takes this 17th player into account, he can plan his way to victory.
Just as a player needs to know the motivations of the other 15 castaways in order to manipulate them, he needs to take MB's motives into consideration. MB wants ratings. Ever since S1, he has never again allowed a situation to develop which may result in Pagonging.
Once a player accepts this, it's wise to play accordingly. By eliminating the possibility of Pagonging, the player eliminates the need for MB to interfere and change the rules. It's always in a player's best interests to control the game himself rather than let MB or any of the other 15 castaways take charge of the game.
Someone is going to throw Morgan a life raft. It'll either be Drake or MB.
Good point, Fluff. I completely agree with you that they need to be sure that there will be no surprises at TC.
Originally Posted by fluff
It can be a double edged sword but sometimes it may be better to get rid of someone (like Jon)who is dragging you down.
On the other hand, if Jon or a few from Drake get the feeling that they are unwanted, and the merge occurs...he/they switch alliances to Morgan and then Drake is sunk. If there is a definite person to go, then perhaps not this week, but soon, it would be good for a TC before the merge.
I wouldn't ever throw a challenge, especially in anticipation of what MB might do. That man is unpredictable. What if you throw the challenge and he doesn't like that you did it and throws favor to Morgan for awhile? You just never know. Better to go with what you think you know and bring as many members as possible into a merge. Cut the dead wood later.
Besides, I can't think of anyone I'd rather have against me in the final two than Jon. Always bring the reviled as far as possible to improve your chances.
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