Elimination Prediction - Season 4

[mbcrowder]

Bottom 3:
Thayne/Comfort
Jessica/Will
And it's a crapshoot for the 3rd spot - I give it to Gev/Courtney, only because they were bottom 3 last week and may not have the voter support I think they should. I'd say there's a 52% chance I'm right, a 47% chance it's Twitchington ... and a 1% chance of a complete shocker and one of the other two end up here.

Who goes? Thayne, hands down. And on the gals it's tough - put a gun to my head and I'll say Jessiker, but I won't be shocked if it's Comfort.

If anyone else goes home, I cry foul.

[Google]

 

[Rabid Dingo]

Based on last night's performance, here are my picks for B3:

1. Comfort/Thayne
2. Jessica/Will
3. Either Kherington/Twitch or Courtney/Gev (could go either way)

Who should go home?

Let's see here. How many times have the following couples been in the B3 before tonight?

Comfort/Thayne = 3 times (Comfort in B3 twice w/ eliminated dancer Chris; Thayne in B3 twice w/ eliminated dancer Chelsea T.)
Jessica/Will = 1 time
Courtney/Gev = 1 time
Kherington/Twitch = never (as of yet)

Based on those number of times in the B3, both Comfort and Thayne really need to go home because if they do end up in the B3 tonight, it'll be their 4th time in the B3 and they had more chances than any other dancer in this competition to improve themselves and it would be totally unfair if anyone else was eliminated over either one of them.

Who will go home?

Females:

Comfort = 75% chance of being sent home (Most logical choice)
Jessica = 20% chance of being sent home (For being a lackluster partner)
Courtney = 4% chance of being sent home
Kherington = 1% chance of being sent home

Males:

Thayne = 75% chance of being sent home (Most logical choice)
Twitch = 20% chance of being sent home (Remember what happened to Hok last season? Total screwjob by the judges!)
Will = 4% chance of being sent home
Gev = 1% chance of being sent home

If there's any justice in this competition, then both Comfort and Thayne will be sent home tonight. The suspense is killing me!

[mbcrowder]

I agree that Comfort SHOULD go home ... but the judges seem to actively hate Jessiker - and I can't see them letting an opportunity to send her home before she qualifies for the tour slip through their fingers.

[deanna42]

Originally Posted by mbcrowder

I agree that Comfort SHOULD go home ... but the judges seem to actively hate Jessiker - and I can't see them letting an opportunity to send her home before she qualifies for the tour slip through their fingers.

Exactly! Why do they hate her so much?? I've wanted to see Comfort go home for the last 3 weeks, and every week she is saved by the judges. Jessica isn't my favorite by any means, but in my opinion they are being absolutely unfair to her.

[harleyswife]

Bottom 3: Comfort & Thayne
Jess & Will
Twitchington
Comfort and Thayne going home

[Uncle David]

I couldn't be more pleased that I was wrong!

[CrossingGuard]

***EVERYONE PLEASE READ THIS POST***

Well I have asked fluff if I can turn this thread into a prediction game, much like the AI prediction game. The answer was yes, and everyone is welcome to play along!

I'm going to count up the points in a similar way with AI prediction game. But since the format with SYTYCD is a little different with AI, I'm going to have some change some things.

We are down to the top 10, so there are no more bottom 3 couples. Instead we have a bottom 4 that is comprised of 2 girls and 2 guys. One girl and one guy will eventually go home. So when you want to submit your predictions each week, give me the name of two girls and two guys who you think will be in the bottom 4. Then underline the two people who you think will be going home. The underlining part is important, so don't forget to do it!

Example:
(These aren't my real predictions by the way. It is just an example.)

Girls
Jessica
Kherington

Guys
Will
Gev

You can give a reason why you're choosing the person if you want, but you don't need to.

For every correct person, you get 3 points. For every underlined person you get correct, you get 5 points. The maximum amount of points you can get is 22 points.

When we're down to the top 6: the bottom 4 is not revealed. So when we're down to the final 6, all you need to do is say is one girl and one guy who you think will be going home. The maximum points you can get for this week is 10 points.

Whe we're down to the final 4: Cat never officially reveals who gets 4th or 3rd. She just eliminates them one by one until there's two left, then she reveals the winner. So here's an example of what you need to do when we're down to the final 4:

Eliminated First: Twitch
Eliminated Second: Chelsie
Runner-Up: Josh
Winner: Katee

(Again, those aren't my real predictions. That was just an example.)

For every person you get correct when we're down to the final 4, you get 8 points. The maximum you can get in that week is 32 points.

So I hope everyone has a good time playing along! And also, I hope those rules weren't too confusing.

[waywyrd]

Ooo, sounds like fun. I'm game!

And your rules are perfectly understandable, CG.

[Uncle David]

We play in this thread right?

[CrossingGuard]

Originally Posted by Uncle David

We play in this thread right?

Yes.

And way, it's good to hear that my rules aren't confusing.