Here's how I see the guys stacking up after tonight's performances. The guys are clearly stratified, and each week has only entrenched each in their position.
Jakob - The best dancer. But we all know that the best dancer rarely wins. Will this be the year? Whatever happens in the finale - Jakob is clearly headed there.
Russell - In a weird way, Russell almost parallels Jakob. He is wonderful in his street style AND he is never less than very good in any dance genre he attempts. Tonight's Mandy Moore routine is a good example. Watching that I would never guess that he wasn't a contemporary dancer. Major props to Boston's Arts Academy high school for turning out such a wonderful all-around dancer. For people who find Jakob too ballet-trained perfect, Russell is a perfect alternative.
Legacy - We drop a level and find Legacy who has grown so much over the season. The hard hitting contemp number was close to a street style, but the partner work was new for him. And he was very very good - but still rough around the edges. What puts Legacy below Russell in my book is that Russell always puts on a competent routine, while Legacy occasionally fails to master a new genre. Legacy got stuck with that unfortunate Count Choc-u-la number tonight, but fans will probably quickly forget that and just remember the athletic action number.
Ryan - Ryan and Legacy are two sides of the same coin. Excellent in their style; versatile in other styles; but occasionally fail to impress. The office politics number didn't do Ryan any favors. The waltz was beautiful work - but it's hard to get votes with a romantic waltz. I think the clock is ticking for Ryan and he will always be in the bottom from now until he leaves.
Nathan - No one started the Top 20 with a bigger built in fan base than Nathan. People have been looking forward to seeing him dance since the Season 5 auditions. And for the first couple of weeks he and Mollee were being called a "power couple". Then Nigel turned on him, and it seems to have knocked him completely off his game. Nigel wanted to kill off the cockiness, but ended up deflating all his confidence. It's so surprising to find him a the bottom of my list and the most likely to be voted off this week.