Oscars predictions

[superfly]

Huh, really? Do you think the third would make any sense if you hadn't seen the first two? If so, I may give it a chance after all...

I didn't say people who didn't see the first two. I said people who didn't like the first two.

[pinkieparrot]

I would love to see Johnny get a nomination.
I tihnk the role in POTC and the way he played it was quite a risk.
He could have been laughed out of theatres, but I think people loved what he did with the role.

I thought he did great! And he got teenage girls to think a 40 something man was hot- you should've HEARD the people talking about it. yummy.

I have to agree with haej about ROTK. It truly was a good movie (and jampacked with hotties!) a bit long, but good. Now, I haven't seen Cold Mountain and I don't want to, but who knows? Perhaps it was better than ROTK.

[chirospasm]

I'm betting Big Fish will get some nods; it was really good. Possibly best director for Tim Burton and Best Picture. Could get some special effects nods, too.

[superfly]

Big Fish has NO buzz at all and is picking up no precursor awards.

[superfly]

With the BFCA's announced today, I think wins are sealed for ROTK, Peter Jackson, Charlize Theron, and Renee Zellweger. Finding Nemo was locked a long time ago.

[chirospasm]

It was nominated for four Golden Globes

[superfly]

BFCA has a higher correlation rate with the Oscars than the GG do. What seals the deal is not really the win but the margin of victory.

BEST PICTURE - Winner, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 43 votes
Runners up: Mystic River - 18 votes / In America - 17 votes / Seabiscuit - 13 votes / Lost In Translation - 12 votes / Big Fish - 10 votes / Cold Mountain - 8 votes / Finding Nemo - 5 votes / The Last Samurai - 4 votes / Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 4 votes


BEST ACTOR - Winner, Sean Penn - Mystic River - 40 votes
Runners up: Bill Murray - Lost In Translation - 35 votes / Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl - 28 votes / Ben Kingsley - House of Sand & Fog - 21 votes / Russell Crowe - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 9 votes


BEST ACTRESS - Winner, Charlize Theron - Monster - 70 votes
Runners up: Diane Keaton - Something's Gotta Give - 27 votes / Naomi Watts - 21 Grams - 13 votes / Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand & Fog - 10 votes / Samantha Morton - In America - 7 votes / Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain - 5 votes


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Winner, Tim Robbins - Mystic River - 37 votes
Runners up: Ken Watanabe - The Last Samurai - 32 votes / Alec Baldwin - The Cooler - 30 votes / Benicio del Toro - 21 Grams - 25 votes / Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World - 9 votes


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Winner, Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain - 50 votes
Runners up: Patricia Clarkson - Pieces of April - 29 votes / Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation - 24 votes / Holly Hunter - Thirteen - 19 votes / Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River - 10 votes


BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE - Winner, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 43 votes
Runners up: Mystic River - 33 votes / A Mighty Wind - 32 votes / Love Actually - 24 votes

BEST DIRECTOR - Winner, Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - 80 votes
Runners up: Clint Eastwood - Mystic River - 17 votes / Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation - 14 votes / Tim Burton - Big Fish - 11 votes / Jim Sheridan - In America - 11 votes

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE - Winner, Finding Nemo - 111 votes
Runners up: The Triplets of Belleville - 20 votes / Brother Bear - 0 votes

[chirospasm]

Brother Bear - 0 votes

Ouch!

[superfly]

Updated predictions (1/21):

Best Picture:

1. Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
2. Mystic River
3. Lost in Translation
4. Seabiscuit
5. Cold Mountain

Best Director:

1. Peter Jackson, ROTK
2. Sofia Coppola, LiT
3. Clint Eastwood, MR
4. Peter Weir, Master and Commander
5. Jim Sheridan, In America

Best Actor:

1. Bill Murray, LiT
2. Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog
3. Sean Penn, MR
4. Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean
5. Russel Crowe, M&C

Best Actress:

1. Charlize Theron, Monster
2. Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give
3. Evan Rachel Wood, Thirteen
4. Naomi Watts, 21 Grams
5. Scarlett Johannson, LiT

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Tim Robbins, MR
2. Alec Baldwin, The Cooler
3. Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai
4. Benicio DelToro, 21 Grams
5. Sean Astin, ROTK

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Renee Zellweger, CM
2. Holly Hunter, Thirteen
3. Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April
4. Maria Bello, The Cooler
5. Keisha Castle Hughes, Whale Rider

[MasterOfPuppets]

LOTR deserves to win this year not just for ROTK, but for the trilogy a whole