It's hard to even estimate the true volume of support for Bristol because she's always been pretty close to the pack.Originally Posted by ironcat;4102255;
Obviously she only has to beat one person every week. This week she was only one point behind Kurt, which I'm sure equates to a mimimal percentage of more fan votes needed than Kurt to beat him.
I remember reading an article last season about Shannen's elimination.
She was 12 points ahead of Buzz, but he needed to get less than three percent more fan votes than her to beat her.
According to Ariel's recap the judges awarded 265 points. Kurt got 48 (18.113%) Bristol got 47 (17.74%). If my maths is correct, that's a very small percentage more of fan votes needed to put Bristol ahead of Kurt.
I can't see them bringing out the 5's now, but lets say they did for the sake of argument.
If the final three was Jennifer, Brandy and Bristol, they all danced two dances and Jennifer and Brandy got 60 points and Bristol got 30, Bristol would (I think) need 20+% more fan votes than the other two to beat them.
This is just rough calculation. I don't know if she could do that with only three couples left, but as I don't see her getting scores that low I don't think she'd need to get such a large share of fan votes anyway.
At this point I'd consider it more of a shock if she didn't at least make it to the final three because of the way she's being scored so closely to far superior dancers.