Okay, the more you watch the feeds, the more obvious it is that these guys TOTALLY don't really like or trust each other. So here's a spot to discuss the REAL alliances, strategies and possible paths for their eventual breakup...
The most "obvious" path would be that if Jase and Scott truly stick to their seeming original plan, then Holly, Cowboy and Drew are all pawns of varying usefulness, and the two of them stick to the end. Their obvious third might actually be HOLLY at this point, as much as Scott has instigated things against her, because she's hated more than the other Horse's Asses and wouldn't likely win over at least Jase (Scott could delude himself too). Marvin might be another possibility to take near the end if they think of it, because face it... nobody female or gay on the show can really stand him. But unlike Holly he is physically strong and that might be more dangerous in a classic end-of-show scenario.
And yet you can see that Jase and Scott undercut each other a lot in the game to other people. Jase tonight for example is doing a heck of a job making it sound like Scott is a real whackjob. This COULD of course all be a clever plan to make various Horse's Asses think that they are closer to others in the alliance than each other. Again, Holly would play a vital part in this deception.
Then we have the ever popular topic of what Holly's real capabilities and loyalties are. For the moment let's assume she's not a show plant. Assuming she MUST be smarter than she seems (debated much elsewhere, but lets use it as a thesis for now), does her agenda depend on the two main Asses for the long run or not?
Next up... are Cowboy and Drew SO dumb that they don't realize that in even the best scenario they are Mr. #4 and Mr. #5 respectively? Jase is not SO dumb that he doesn't know EXACTLY that these guys are much more tolerated by the rest of the house and would be a disaster at the end. IF CB and Drew realize this do they even plan to get out... and if so would be it together or seperately? My notion is that Drew, Cowboy, Nokomis and Diane (any maybe Adria) could EASILY form a new power center if they wanted to, and I can't see why this isn't SO obvious to them.
Any more thoughts on how long this alliance will last? How long it SHOULD last (and not an emotional answer "I want them gone now because I hate them", I mean assume for a moment that Jase and Scott really ARE planning to go to the end or that CB and Drew despite the appearance to the contrary really DO have a clue and run with a theory from there...)
Of course another popular theory (I've said it myself) is that these guys are really just idiots stumbling along with no coherent strategy and are only winning because really nobody else is any smarter. Still, even so, there are definite possibilities to discuss about who really want to do what with whom, who is most loyal to whom, who is the perceived pawn etc., even if you think these guys will play emotionally and arrogantly and not logically.