Bachelorette 5 - "Top 16" Sleuthing Thread **SPOILERS**

Since we have our 20, let's figure out the top 16.

http://i39.tinypic.com/tari4j.jpg

1.Mike (group date)
2.Micheal (group date)
3.Tanner F (group date)
4.Wes (group date)
5.Brad (group date)
6.Juan (group date and boat cap in vancouver)
7.Tanner P (group date)
8.Mark (group date)
9.Ed (helicopter cap)
10.Robby (train ride in canada)
11.Jesse (boat cap in vancouver)
12.David (boat cap in vancouver)
13.Jake (boat cap in vancouver)
14.Reid (htd date in Philly cap)
15.Sasha (word of htd?) (no caps yet)
16. Kip (word of htd?) (no caps yet)

Cut.
1.Julien
2.Simon
3.Mathue
4.Brian

Agree? :)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by cupcakes;3452942;

Since we have our 20, let's figure out the top 16.

http://i39.tinypic.com/tari4j.jpg

1.Mike (group date)
2.Micheal (group date)
3.Tanner F (group date)
4.Wes (group date)
5.Brad (group date)
6.Juan (group date and boat cap in vancouver)
7.Tanner P (group date)
8.Mark (group date)
9.Ed (helicopter cap)
10.Robby (train ride in canada)
11.Jesse (boat cap in vancouver)
12.David (boat cap in vancouver)
13.Jake (boat cap in vancouver)
14.Reid (htd date in Philly cap)
15.Sasha (word of htd?) (no caps yet)
16. Kip (word of htd?) (no caps yet)

Cut.
1.Julien
2.Simon
3.Mathue
4.Brian

Agree? :)

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Do you know something about these 4? Can't say why (I promised), but I heard (outside these threads) that #2 Simon would be an appropriate cut before Canada. Also, I'm updating the Master List to include his last name.

Ooops, I thought the one you identified as Jesse on the Vancouver boat ride was Simon. So, it looks like Simon is among the last cut in LA, eh?

cupcakes, I agree with your pick for eliminating Simon.

From the info we've gathered, it seems Matthue and Julien should definitely be out of the Top 16, but I'm not convinced yet about Brian. Here's who is "accounted for" and "unaccounted for":

Surfacing Info:

Julien - Apr 10
Matthue - Apr 12

So, Julien & Matthue would seem to fit on your Top 16 list.

Wes - May 2
Sasha/Alex - May 3
Jake - May 6
David - May 7

eta: Just saw cheekychook's post in Sleuthing Thread saying she knows Ed was home in April - thanks, cc -- should Ed be the 4th guy added to the "eliminated by F16" accounting?

I think once we've gotten to May "surfaces," we can't tell from that info alone exactly how far they got -- just how far they didn't

We have no surfacing info on:

Brad
Brian
Ed -- see eta above
Jesse
Juan
Kip
Mark
Michael
Mike
Reid
Robby
Tanner F
Tanner P

...unless I missed something and didn't get it into the Master List.

What's your thinking on Brian versus some of these other guys?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by I'msotired;3453169;

cupcakes, I agree with your pick for eliminating Simon.

From the info we've gathered, it seems Matthue and Julien should definitely be out of the Top 16, but I'm not convinced yet about Brian. Here's who is "accounted for" and "unaccounted for":

Surfacing Info:

Julien - Apr 10
Matthue - Apr 12

So, Julien & Matthue would seem to fit on your Top 16 list.

Wes - May 2
Sasha/Alex - May 3
Jake - May 6
David - May 7

eta: Just saw cheekychook's post in Sleuthing Thread saying she knows Ed was home in April - thanks, cc -- should Ed be the 4th guy added to the "eliminated by F16" accounting?

I think once we've gotten to May "surfaces," we can't tell from that info alone exactly how far they got -- just how far they didn't

We have no surfacing info on:

Brad
Brian
Ed -- see eta above
Jesse
Juan
Kip
Mark
Michael
Mike
Reid
Robby
Tanner F
Tanner P

...unless I missed something and didn't get it into the Master List.

What's your thinking on Brian versus some of these other guys?

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Here is my reasoning. We know episode 2 includes the Venice date with 7, the LA race date with 8, the bank vault date with 1, and the martina date with one. Therefore any other dates would be part of future episodes (episode 3 and beyond). In the caps above we have a group date with 11, a boat date in Vancouver, a train ride in Vancouver, htd in philly and a helicopter date. None of these dates fit in with episode 2, so any guys identified in these caps make it to the top 16. We don't have any caps of Brian, Simon, Mathue or Julien on these future dates. There is a possibility that two of these guys could be switched in for either Sasha or Kip since we have no caps of them either. Ed could also not make the top 16, if the bank vault date or the Martina date involved a helicopter ride. I hope I made sense. :)

The ones I am sure of being in top 16 based on caps:

1.Mike (group date)
2.Micheal (group date)
3.Tanner F (group date)
4.Wes (group date)
5.Brad (group date)
6.Juan (group date and boat cap in vancouver)
7.Tanner P (group date)
8.Mark (group date)
9.Robby (train ride in canada)
10.Jesse (boat cap in vancouver)
11.David (boat cap in vancouver)
12.Jake (boat cap in vancouver)
13.Reid (htd date in Philly cap)
14.
15.
16.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by cupcakes;3453245;

Here is my reasoning. We know episode 2 includes the Venice date with 7, the LA race date with 8, the bank vault date with 1, and the martina date with one. Therefore any other dates would be part of future episodes (episode 3 and beyond). In the caps above we have a group date with 11, a boat date in Vancouver, a train ride in Vancouver, htd in philly and a helicopter date. None of these dates fit in with episode 2, so any guys identified in these caps make it to the top 16. We don't have any caps of Brian, Simon, Mathue or Julien on these future dates. There is a possibility that two of these guys could be switched in for either Sasha or Kip since we have no caps of them either. Ed could also not make the top 16, if the bank vault date or the Martina date involved a helicopter ride. I hope I made sense. :)

The ones I am sure of being in top 16 based on caps:

1.Mike (group date)
2.Micheal (group date)
3.Tanner F (group date)
4.Wes (group date)
5.Brad (group date)
6.Juan (group date and boat cap in vancouver)
7.Tanner P (group date)
8.Mark (group date)
9.Robby (train ride in canada)
10.Jesse (boat cap in vancouver)
11.David (boat cap in vancouver)
12.Jake (boat cap in vancouver)
13.Reid (htd date in Philly cap)
14.
15.
16.

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I agree cupcakes. The problem is most of us want Kip to be "the one" but all we are going by is what one person has posted here and we don't have any concrete evidence. I'm still hoping that since we don't have anything solid on Kip that's a good thing...if not he can come to Nova Scotia...our surfing is cold but not bad...I'll keep him warm :lovestruc

I thought the helicopter date was tied to the Hotel rappel date (LA). Ed appears to be in the helicopter and the long view shot shows the Malibu coast line. So, wouldn't Ed have the Hotel rappel date in LA?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Arielflies;3453251;

I thought the helicopter date was tied to the Hotel rappel date (LA). Ed appears to be in the helicopter and the long view shot shows the Malibu coast line. So, wouldn't Ed have the Hotel rappel date in LA?

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That was my initial thought as well, but we know Fleiss loves his helicopters. So there is a small possibility that a helicopter could have been used for one of the one on one dates in episode 2. Highly unlikely, but possible.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by cupcakes;3452942;

Since we have our 20, let's figure out the top 16.

http://i39.tinypic.com/tari4j.jpg

1.Mike (group date)
2.Micheal (group date)
3.Tanner F (group date)
4.Wes (group date)
5.Brad (group date)
6.Juan (group date and boat cap in vancouver)
7.Tanner P (group date)
8.Mark (group date)
9.Ed (helicopter cap)
10.Robby (train ride in canada)
11.Jesse (boat cap in vancouver)
12.David (boat cap in vancouver)
13.Jake (boat cap in vancouver)
14.Reid (htd date in Philly cap)
15.Sasha (word of htd?) (no caps yet)
16. Kip (word of htd?) (no caps yet)

Cut.
1.Julien
2.Simon
3.Mathue
4.Brian

Agree? :)

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#4 and #6 look like the same guy to me.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by atem;3453279;

#4 and #6 look like the same guy to me.

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I think #4 is Wes standing behind Juan. You can see the side of his face behind Juan's head.