I registered in 2004 too. Before I came here I sleuthed at twop. I have never seen Alex , Aaron , or Trista's seasons. (Just the FRC for Trista). . I remember I had Ian for F1 way before the final screencaps. There was no denying their passion. The shock was that he proposed. Many veteran sleuthers felt it was Matt, up until the screencaps came out. I think this season will be similar. More veterans will know it is Tessa at that point.
I had Estella for Blob, hated Jesse too much to care. I knew he'd pick a blonde. I honestly dont remember what I anticipated then. Ha. Didnt get into Byron's season too much. I think for those two I just followed along with all the veteran sleuthers. For Charlie - I had Sara B. - she was just classier and cuter. For Firestone I knew it was Jen after his brother's conversation with him for sure. I distinctly remember seeing a preview screencap of Jerry Ferris and doing a double take before I even knew his name. But towards the end of Jen's season, the screencaps helped peg him as F1. Was that the protractor season? (I'm not very good at that sort of sleuthing. But I always benefit from the work of the others here who are so brilliant. I take no credit for getting it right.) Let's see who else is there? Ah yes, Travis Stork. Had Moana pegged as heartbroken in early January - before we even knew who the F4 were , due to her Myspace sadness. Had Sarah S as the F1 by default once we knew she was F2 with Moana. I had Jen for Lorenzo thanks to screencaps (not my own work.)
My track record is pretty good. But it's through the good work of others. Except I will take credit for knowing, really knowing in my gut tha t Moana could not be F1 even when many people doubted it. Many of us just could not see the heat between Sarah S. and Travis . Therefore many felt that Sarah S. could not win. In retrospect, we were all correct, in a way.
My two best gut reaction decisions were Ian winning and Moana losing the final rose. This season, my gut has been telling me all along that it's Tessa. I'm swinging away on that hammock of heat in Hawaii.