Will win: Dawna
Should win: Jim
As for the whys... Dawna will win because I think she best embodies what Martha wants and needs--boring, conservative and self-important. Jim SHOULD win because he's what Martha actually deserves. Heck, he's gone to so much trouble to be where he's at, I almost admire him at this point instead of merely loathing him.
Bethenny doesn't even factor in, despite her proclimation last episode that she was the "big idea" person. Yes, I actually think she will get to the final two instead of Jim--his outrageousness won't survive the interview process. But in the final task, for all her so-called "big ideas", I doubt she will suddenly manifest an ability to manage--which boring old Dawna DOES have. The ability to manage Scrabble far better than Dawna won't really enter into things, in the end.
Obviously my "should" pick is a bit sarcastic, but in a way I'm serious. This whole series was a bit of a travesty--where Jim was the only thing worth watching up to and INCLUDING Martha. Either that, or we'd be reduced to guessing Charles' tie color of the week, approximately how many minutes he'd spend orally fixated on that cee-gar, and maybe spend some time playing guessing games about what badly constructed homey "pose" they'd put Martha in that week--posed in front of a horse, posed as if she was leading an important meeting, posed as if she'd just decided to whip up a souffle for some unexpected guests, etc.
Anyone else want to venture some picks? Assuming you care at this point, I mean...