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Thread: EW's Final 4 Odds. Do you agree?

  1. #1
    American Idol Fanatic IdolFreak05's Avatar
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    EW's Final 4 Odds. Do you agree?

    In this weeks Entertainment Weekly they give the following odds for the final four..

    Mercedes: 3-2
    April: 3-1
    Shandi: 3-2
    Yoanna: 6-1

    My question is do you agree with these odds?

  2. #2
    FORT Fogey Frostelized's Avatar
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    I can't read those well. Are they saying Mercedes or Shandi is most likely to win, and then April and then Yoanna? If so, no.

  3. #3
    Nevermind Lotuslander's Avatar
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    I'm not sure how odds work, what do those figures mean?

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    FORT Fogey Frostelized's Avatar
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    *cracks up at "Free Martha" avatar*

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    Team Natasha! nora's Avatar
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    Let me be the 3rd to chime in with the same question, lol How does one read those odds?

  6. #6
    harmless dolphin martini's Avatar
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    What they mean is that they are ranking them as follows:

    #1 April
    #2 Shandi/Mercedes (tie -- equally likely to come in second)
    #4 Yoanna
    Shaken, not stirred.

  7. #7
    Special withoutasol's Avatar
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    go.... APRIL! AND MERCEDES!

  8. #8
    FORT Fan eatmorchiken's Avatar
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    Martini, I think you're wrong, sadly to say... they are saying, if im not mistaken, that Shandi and Mercedes have the best chances...
    I'M BAAAAAAAAACK.

  9. #9
    FORT Fogey Salome's Avatar
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    I read those to mean that Yoanna is the most likely, then April, with Mercedes and Shandi are tied for least likely. But those are strange odds.

  10. #10
    cnidoc
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    Betmakers Odds

    If we're talking bookmaker's odds, Yoanna's 6-1 odds means if you bet $1 on Yoanna, and she wins, you'll win $6 (and get a total of $7 back). This is because Yoanna is expected to win only once out of every 6 times she loses; she has a 1/(1+6) = 1/7 chanceof winning.

    You'd make the most money betting on Yoanna, meaning she's the longest shot.

    Therefore, EW thinks:

    1) Shandi/Mercedes (2/5 chance of winning)
    2) April (1/4 chance of winning)
    3) Yoanna (1/7 chance of winning)
    Last edited by cnidoc; 03-06-2004 at 06:01 PM.

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