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Thread: CI Prediction Game Week 2 (with Week 1 Results)

  1. #1
    Foster Your Inner Kacey BobDobolina's Avatar
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    CI Prediction Game Week 2 (with Week 1 Results)

    Voice-Over Man:

    Here's are your first week results. I can't believe we have 33 people already! Wicked!!!

    And of course, addikted is at the top of the leaderboard... AGAIN. :phhht Wicked!!!

    And a big "good on you" also goes out to SamsMom, who got a top score this week, and djgirl5235 who is tied with addikted for 1st place overall! Wicked!!!


    I was trying to go for a Canadian feel. I hope it worked.

    A couple of notes:
    • I took everybody's picks. If you didn't make nostro picks, I used your first week's picks. And if you didn't make your first week's pick, I used your nostros. One person said he wanted to play and didn't make either pick, so I just ignored you. Since that person's FoRT name is "Anonymous," it actually seemed appropriate.
    • Could those people who don't live in Canada let me know who you are.
    • For those of you who haven't played before, one of the contestants you'll see in the leaderboard is named _Fort_Joe. He's this disciplined guy who always picks the median of all of our picks. Essentially, he represents what our consensus pick is. So, as a group, we feel that the contestants will be eliminated in the following order (you can find this info by reading the list of letters in the nostrodamus update table by _Fort_Joe):

      10. Brandy (Y)
      9. Shane (S)
      8. Joshua (A)
      7. Manoah (M)
      6. Elena (E)
      5. Kaleb (B)
      4. Jason (N)
      3. Jacob (J)
      2. Theresa (T)
      1. Kalan (K)
    • You may want to double-check your picks using those letters to translate. I do make errors from time to time.
    • For those who haven't played before, let me tell you how next week works. Sometime between now and the beginning of the results show, post your predictions for the week in this thread. I'll post the results in a new thread next week and we'll do it again.
    • Also, I'd like to do two things differently, to make the data entry a little easier.

      First, after you type in your normal list, could you also translate that list into a sequence of letters like the ones in the tables below. For example, let's say I made the picks that I just listed for Fort Joe above. At the end of the post, I would also add:

      ktjnbemasy

      That's one letter for each pick starting with the least likeliest to be eliminated, i.e winner to loser. That will make entering your picks a lot easier for me. I can just cut and paste them.

      Second, if you're not changing the relative order of your picks from the previous week, just say "same as last week" or something. That way I don't have to enter any picks at all.
    • And last but not least, if there's a Canadian out there who is at least above-average computer savvy (with PCs) and is willing to help me with something, could you please PM me?

    Well, good luck and hope you guys have fun...


    Week 1 Results (Bottom 3: amy)
    Name....................Picks. ........Score..Breakdown

    1st.Place
    SamsMom.................tksnej baym......19...21 - 1 - 1 - 0 = 19
    addikted................tkjebn masy......19...21 - 0 - 2 - 0 = 19
    djgirl5235..............ktjebn smay......19...21 - 0 - 1 - 1 = 19
    2nd.Place
    BobDobolina.............ktjnes mbay......18...21 - 0 - 2 - 1 = 18
    baskiddball.............tjkenb ayms......18...21 - 2 - 0 - 1 = 18
    charfred................ktjneb amys......18...21 - 1 - 1 - 1 = 18
    pineapple...............ktjneb yams......18...21 - 3 - 0 - 0 = 18
    upnorth.................ktejbn ayms......18...21 - 2 - 0 - 1 = 18
    3rd.Place
    Dinger1971..............kbtejn yasm......17...21 - 3 - 1 - 0 = 17
    IdolCanadien............jknebt syam......17...21 - 2 - 1 - 1 = 17
    _Fort_Joe...............ktjsen bmya......17...21 - 1 - 1 - 2 = 17
    acclyaimed4.............jktneb aysm......17...21 - 2 - 1 - 1 = 17
    oxide...................ktnesj aybm......17...21 - 2 - 1 - 1 = 17
    Respectable
    4 - Ajane...............ktjnbeymas ......16...21 - 3 - 1 - 1 = 16
    4 - Miss_Filangi........kjtnebmyas ......16...21 - 2 - 2 - 1 = 16
    4 - Siso................kjtenbmyas ......16...21 - 2 - 2 - 1 = 16
    4 - duxxy...............jkebnytasm ......16...21 - 4 - 1 - 0 = 16
    4 - fluff...............kjtbenmyas ......16...21 - 2 - 2 - 1 = 16
    4 - happyblue...........ktjebnysma ......16...21 - 3 - 0 - 2 = 16
    4 - oscar...............jktbenymas ......16...21 - 3 - 1 - 1 = 16
    4 - sooz................tkjebnymas ......16...21 - 3 - 1 - 1 = 16
    4 - tcutugno............kjtenbmyas ......16...21 - 2 - 2 - 1 = 16
    5 - Alberared...........kjtenmbyas ......15...21 - 2 - 3 - 1 = 15
    5 - Jay.................kjtenmyabs ......15...21 - 3 - 3 - 0 = 15
    5 - Silverstar..........kjtenmbyas ......15...21 - 2 - 3 - 1 = 15
    5 - dfleming2...........tbjmksenay ......15...21 - 0 - 5 - 1 = 15
    5 - tangerinejoy........ktejbnymsa ......15...21 - 3 - 1 - 2 = 15
    Couldn't recognize a star search moment even if they were piggybacked on Ed McMahon
    6 - Masai&Pygmie........tknemjaybs ......14...21 - 2 - 4 - 1 = 14
    6 - cathy92.............jktnembysa ......14...21 - 2 - 3 - 2 = 14
    7 - Liant...............ktsemabynj ......13...21 - 2 - 4 - 2 = 13
    8 - Lotuslander.........ytknbeasmj ......11...21 - 9 - 0 - 1 = 11
    8 - touque..............ktnmajsyeb ......11...21 - 2 - 5 - 3 = 11


    Winner of Week 1 Glory and Prestige...
    SamsMom
    addikted
    djgirl5235



    Nostrodamus Update
    Name....................Picks. .........Score.....Breakdown

    1st.Place
    BobDobolina.............ktjnes mbay......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    Silverstar..............ktnjem asby......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    _Fort_Joe...............ktjnbe masy......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    addikted................tkjebn masy......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    charfred................ktjmns aeby......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    dfleming2...............tbjmks enay......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    djgirl5235..............ktjebn smay......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    fluff...................ktjbna mesy......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    pineapple...............ktnesj bmay......11.......11 - 0 = 11
    2nd.Place
    Jay.....................tkjane bmys......10.......11 - 1 = 10
    SamsMom.................tksnej baym......10.......11 - 1 = 10
    Siso....................ktenbs ajym......10.......11 - 1 = 10
    sooz....................ktbnej amys......10.......11 - 1 = 10
    upnorth.................ktbejm nsya......10.......11 - 1 = 10
    3rd.Place
    Ajane...................ktnbmj eyas.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    IdolCanadien............kbjnts myea.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    Liant...................ktsema bynj.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    Masai&Pygmie............tknemj aybs.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    acclyaimed4.............kjtnea bysm.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    cathy92.................jktnem bysa.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    oxide...................ktnesj aybm.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    tcutugno................ktnajm sybe.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    touque..................ktnmaj syeb.......9........11 - 2 = 9
    Respectable
    4 - Alberared...........ktjenbymsa .......8........11 - 3 = 8
    4 - Dinger1971..........kbtejnyasm .......8........11 - 3 = 8
    4 - Miss_Filangi........ktjbmnyase .......8........11 - 3 = 8
    4 - oscar...............jtkbenymas .......8........11 - 3 = 8
    4 - tangerinejoy........ktejbnymsa .......8........11 - 3 = 8
    5 - duxxy...............jkebnytasm .......7........11 - 4 = 7
    6 - baskiddball.........jbtmyksnae .......6........11 - 5 = 6
    7 - happyblue...........ktyjmsnbea .......4........11 - 7 = 4
    8 - Lotuslander.........ytknbeasmj .......2........11 - 9 = 2

    Overall Rankings


    Rank..Name............Nostro.. Week.1..Total....Weeks.Won

    1.....addikted.........[11]....[19].....30..........2
    1.....djgirl5235.......[11]....[19].....30..........2

    2.....BobDobolina......[11].....18......29..........1
    2.....SamsMom...........10.....[19].....29..........1
    2.....charfred.........[11].....18......29..........1
    2.....pineapple........[11].....18......29..........1
    3....._Fort_Joe........[11].....17......28..........1
    3.....upnorth...........10......18......28..........0
    4.....fluff............[11].....16......27..........1
    5.....IdolCanadien.......9......17......26..........0
    5.....Silverstar.......[11].....15......26..........1
    5.....Siso..............10......16......26..........0
    5.....acclyaimed4........9......17......26..........0
    5.....dfleming2........[11].....15......26..........1
    5.....oxide..............9......17......26..........0
    5.....sooz..............10......16......26..........0
    6.....Ajane..............9......16......25..........0
    6.....Dinger1971.........8......17......25..........0
    6.....Jay...............10......15......25..........0
    6.....tcutugno...........9......16......25..........0
    7.....Miss_Filangi.......8......16......24..........0
    7.....baskiddball........6......18......24..........0
    7.....oscar..............8......16......24..........0
    8.....Alberared..........8......15......23..........0
    8.....Masai&Pygmie.......9......14......23..........0
    8.....cathy92............9......14......23..........0
    8.....duxxy..............7......16......23..........0
    8.....tangerinejoy.......8......15......23..........0
    9.....Liant..............9......13......22..........0
    10....happyblue..........4......16......20..........0
    10....touque.............9......11......20..........0
    11....Lotuslander........2......11......13..........0


    Scores surrounded by "-" marks indicate that default points were awarded due to a missed week.
    Scores surrounded by brackets, "[]", indicate a weekly winning score.

  2. #2
    Nevermind Lotuslander's Avatar
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    I'm at the very, very bottom, the Tonya Harding of Canadian Idol.

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    FORT Fanatic acclyaimed4's Avatar
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    Third place, and 5th overall, not a bad start.

    You're the best, Bob!!
    Something I wasn't sure of, but I was in the middle of, Something I forget now - Keane, This is the last time

  4. #4
    Survivor Withdrawal Liant's Avatar
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    Hey Bob,

    i'm new at this - is there anywhere where you describe what a nostros is? & also a breakdown on how you calculate the rankings for the nostros & each week?

    thanks

  5. #5
    Foster Your Inner Kacey BobDobolina's Avatar
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    The nostrodamus picks are your long-term picks. You made them before the top 10 started. Every time someone gets eliminated, we'll add a bit to your score depending on how accurately you originally predicted that person's elimination.

    All of scores are really easy to calculate, though I did have complicated schemes in AI3's top 32 rounds. Each time we learn something about a persons ranking (either the weekly bottom three or the elimination), we see what place you ranked them. You lose one point for every place you're off. For example, this week we learned that Joshua was ranked 8th out of the top 10. If you ranked him 8th in your weekly rankings, you would have lost no points. If you ranked him 1st, you would have lost 7 points. The same thing applies to the nostro picks, except we compare elimination number with your ranking, for. e.g. brandy's now known 10th spot with wherever you ranked Brandy in your nostro list.

  6. #6
    FORT Fanatic happyblue's Avatar
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    10th?! I demand a recount!

  7. #7
    Nevermind Lotuslander's Avatar
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    Ok, Bob, so do we put our week 2 predictions in this thread. I think so, but no one else has, so I'm not sure.

  8. #8
    Jay
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    Bob, many thanks for your great work and congrats to SamsMom, addikted and deej for their victory!

  9. #9
    _ pineapple's Avatar
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    Bob, thanks for doing this!
    Congrats to SamsMom, addikted, and djgirl5235!

  10. #10
    FORT Fanatic acclyaimed4's Avatar
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    Can I submit my week 2 entry? I won't be here all week, and I don't want to miss a week.

    1. Jacob
    2. Kalan
    3. Elena
    4. Theresa
    5. Joshua
    6. Manoah
    7. Jason
    8. Shane
    9. Kaleb

    I'm doing this entirely out of my psychic ability, or lack thereof. Have fun!!!
    Something I wasn't sure of, but I was in the middle of, Something I forget now - Keane, This is the last time

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